And on "outliers:"
The -example- I linked to below of scientists predicting 2013 as the Year of No Ice was not something I had to work to dig up. It made headlines back then. Al Gore cited that scientist in his Nobel Prize acceptance speech.
For the record, the scientist is -now shooting for 2016.-
Dummy. One of the major rules of scientific climate prediction is that "All Predictions Shall be Dated After My Death or Retirement."