Black September, October Surprise
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
Arctic sea ice extent averaged for September 2012 was the lowest in the satellite record, and was 16% lower than the previous low for the month, which occurred in 2007. Through 2012, the linear rate of decline for September Arctic ice extent over the satellite record is now 13.0% per decade, relative to the 1979 to 2000 average. The six lowest September ice extents over the satellite record have all occurred in the last six years. Compared to the 1979 to 2000 average ice conditions, the September 2012 ice cover represents a 49% reduction in the area of the Arctic Ocean covered by sea ice. It is 2.91 million square kilometers (1.12 million square miles), or 45%, below the 30-year average over 1981 to 2010.
The math is hard. And remember, those massive drops aren't the difference between winter and summer ice extents, it's the difference between this summer's ice, and previous summers.
Even though fall has started, and the ice is re-forming, there is still less ice on the water now, in early October, than there was in mid August when the previous low ice cover record (2007) was shattered.
