A tidy little discussion.
For a time series, such as the stock market, sea ice extent, or the output of a photovoltaic system, moving averages are very useful for spotting trends. Adjusting the period of the moving average can show long and short-term patterns. Taking the last example - a PV system - will see a wide range of daily harvest amounts. Cloudy days at any time of year will result in only a few kilowatt hours. A sunny day in winter might produce only half as many kWh's as a sunny day in summer. By generating a 30 day moving average, one can predict what the same period next year should average. By using a 90 day moving average, seasonal norms can be visualized. Comparing yearly moving averages can show how the system is doing over its lifetime. For sea ice and glacial data, a five year moving average would be useful for assessing the over-all gain or loss of the system.
Space/Science » in reply to A primer of curve fitting.
Moving averages
