Current Events — HabitableZone

Current Events » in reply to Don't relax yet. WTF is up with these polls?

My money's on Clinton, but its going to be close.

My money's on Clinton, but its going to be close.

If I had to make book, I'd say the odds were 55-45 Clinton, and the spread will probably be just a couple of points, at most. And who knows what will happen in the electoral college? But the results will probably be mostly a function of turnout, and that cannot be predicted with the same confidence as voter preference. Think Brexit.

I don't have to tell you guys this election has been full of surprises. No one's going to be able to predict what will happen next. One thing's for certain. If Trump does win, I think I'll be heading Up The Line for a while. Its not that I think Trump will be personally hunting down all his critics for punishment. Its just that a Trump victory will be a green light for a lot of his followers who are currently laying low.

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