Yet I do believe, that if a gun is introduced in the first act, it will be used in the fifth.

You are right about the subtly of their art o' war. I believe their goal is to destabilize our system of government - always has been. They want to pit friend against friend to weaken the response to their actions. Confusion is their goal.

If a sex tape is released, or financial improprieties revealed, it will not be seen as coming from them directly. And probably not though Wikileaks. That pipeline is too well known now. They'll allow someone else to "find" it, the Anonymous group or someone else will find and disclose, and while we are busy trying to discern the veracity of the material, arguing over if videos are photoshopped, discussing what fonts were used by what typewriters and when, chasing our tails in yet another scandalous imbroglio, they move another chess piece, incrementally enacting long term plans.

And while they really hate the uppity Lithuanians, their eye is on Estonia, because it has a decent Baltic Sea port. And Estonia is scared enough to be training their citizens in resistance tactics. (I was in Tallinn during the Russian invasion of Georgia and they were really concerned they were next.)