I read the article this morning, and was mildly dubious just because Trump is too crafty a con artist to count him out just yet.

But what makes it seem not crazy is that Trump's calcified base is far short of a majority, even in the quantized maze of the Electoral College. That's maybe 35% of the electorate. The normal people who disapprove of Trump make up over 50%, though the Achilles Heel is not everybody votes. So there's this sliver of independents or people not blindly tied to a party and a tiny bit persuadable who are increasingly likely to vote hell no! to Trump.

It won't take much persuading when the consequences of Trump's incompetence and idiocy become glaringly obvious.

But I don't think we should be rooting for incompetency with this. In my age cohort, the mortality rate is 3.6%, based on Chinese data. Then there's the health riders, adding about 16%. I can't realistically hope for Trump to suddenly stop fucking up, but maybe something will constrain him to let professional advice get through.

After all, this is the guy who gazed into an eclipse and today continues to shake hands with anybody who can't get away; he's known to be two degrees from a carrier. 14 days of quarantine might at least slow him down and let competent people get a word in edgewise.