It appears we will considerably surpass the 170 death toll by tomorrow night
We will almost certainly have several thousands of deaths by march 30th, then- if our social distancing efforts have been adopted by everyone, we should see a reduction in the rate of deaths after that... how much a reduction will depend on how seriously people adhere to the social distancing advice.
Let's see how that social distancing effort is going....
Where is a tsunami when you need one?