Russia is in a mess and they have no plan, they have no idea what's happening right now let alone next week or next month, the deaths are somewhere between 2000 and 10000 and they dont really know. They have a deadline of June because if this isn't fixed by then he says Russia will collapse. This FSB analyst is just waiting for some "mentally screwed up advisor" to start a war with Europe with demands to end sanctions as he can't see a way out. Localised nuclear strike is possible in Ukraine, but not for any objective, more to destroy morale and make a statement.

If that doesn’t work either, Putin becomes the new Hitler and the Z becomes the new swastika. Instead they're looking for a non existent hidden nuclear program in Ukraine, but that's not working either. It sounds like this analyst is out of intelligence to share.

Overall Russia seems like they're in a *really* bad spot. Who knows, at this rate there might not be a Russia as we know it in 5 years.