Trump's shtick has gotten old for all but his hard core base. Sure, those folks will follow him off a cliff, but recent polling shows him in the high 40s for the GOP nomination. That means better than half of republicans are open to another candidate. Losing the last three elections (four if you count the Jan 2021 GA runoff) has concerned a lot of the GOP about his truckloads of baggage. Democrats hate him so much they would crawl across broken glass to vote against him. A majority of independents feel the same way. Even a sliver of republicans feel that way. College educated suburbanites are a must win constituency for the GOP and they despise Trump. Furthermore, there is nothing Trump will ever do to win them over. That cake is baked. The extremely high anti Trump turnout in the last three elections does not show any complacency. If Trump's name is anywhere near an election the anti Trump vote will be enormous.

Dems kept the Senate and won more Governor races. Election deniers lost every battleground state . Dems won big in many state legislatures. We lost the House but the GOP's margin is razor thin and there are about 40 republican moderates who have declared they will block the most bat shit crazy tendencies of the Freedom Caucus. If Warnock wins in GA a 51-49 majority in the Senate allows Dems to create oversight committees that they can't do with just a 50-50 split. They can take up and further the work of the House Jan 6 committee.

The GOP has a huge problem. If Trump wins the nomination he is the one candidate most likely to lose the general election for them, and they know it. But they have another problem, if DeSantis or another republican wins the nomination, what will Trump NOT do? Do you think he will say "I lost to the better candidate fair and square. I'm endorsing him fully and want all my voters to vote for him"? Of course he won't, he'll claim he was cheated and is a victim and run as a third party independent. He'll relentlessly attack the GOP nominee and burn the GOP to the ground because all he cares about is himself.

No we're not out of the woods, but we can see the path that leads out of the woods. Our problems are far from over, but they're not just starting. It feels more like we are at the end of the beginning.