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STRATFOR.com
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THE INTERNET SOURCE FOR GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE
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Title
September day, 2001
Summary
Geopolitical realities after the attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon will force the United States to back away from its relationship with Israel and favor Muslim allies such as Egypt and Jordan, as well as old foes like Iran and Syria. And Israel's guardian in Washington, the Jewish political lobby, is being challenged by a growing Muslim political power.
Analysis
On the one-year anniversary Sept. 28 of the latest Palestinian uprising against Israel, King Abdullah II of Jordan met with U.S. President George W. Bush to support the U.S. counterterrorism campaign. The Bush administration was also courting Islamic support with separate meetings the previous day between U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell, Abdullah and Turkish Foreign Minister Ismail Cem.
Geopolitical realities after the attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon will force the United States to back away from its relationship with Israel. Cold War priorities that once favored the Jewish state have been replaced by a need for support from Muslim states such as Syria, Iran and Egypt. Israel's guardian in Washington, the Jewish political lobby, is also being challenged by a growing Muslim political power.
The tenor of relations between Washington and Israel will change as the White House gives the Israeli government the diplomatic cold shoulder. The United States will also continue to put significant pressure on Israel to clamp down on the violence in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Depending on how the Israelis react, this may be the beginning of a sea change in U.S.-Israeli relations.
(The Rest of the Story)
(c) 2001 Stratfor, Inc.
Dan
Sea Change in U.S.-Israeli Relations . . .