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Nepal's Problems Could Boost U.S.-India Ties
December 4, 2001
Summary
The most recent Maoist insurgency in Nepal prompted King Gyanendra to declare a state of emergency and call on other nations for help in the fight. Both the United States and India have pledged military assistance, giving the two large powers a chance to cooperate and improve relations without threatening U.S. ties with anti-terror coalition partner Pakistan.
Analysis
Nepal's Maoist rebels began launching new attacks throughout the country Nov. 23, leaving 430 people dead after one week of fighting, Agence France-Presse reported. The resumption of violence ended peace talks between the rebel group and the government as well as a 4-month-old cease-fire. King Gyanendra on Nov. 26 asked various countries for help; India and the United States both are offering military support.
New Delhi's offer was expected given Nepal's strategic and economic importance. And U.S. assistance can accomplish a number of Washington's goals. By helping Nepal fight the rebels, the United States will be able to support India indirectly, improving relations with the country without undermining U.S. ties with Pakistan. Washington will also secure a greater influence in South and East Asia.
Before it turned to Pakistan as a vital ally in the war against terrorism, Washington was taking steps to form a stronger strategic relationship with India, including possible military cooperation. Washington must now reassure India that the current U.S. reliance on Islamabad won't scuttle their budding partnership. But a goodwill gesture extended by the United States must also be balanced with the need to keep Pakistan happy.
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(Story Source)
(c) 2001 Stratfor, Inc.
Related BBC stories:
* Nepal's Maoists on the move
By BBC’s Sushil Sharma in Kathmandu
* Nepal in crises
Dan
Nepal's Problems Could Boost U.S.-India Ties . . .