He hasn't been seen or spoken out in months (the videos just released had scenes of Bin Laden which were apparently shot a long time ago) and that's not consistent with his megalomaniac personality. If he was alive, I don't believe that arrogant bastard could have kept his mouth shut for this long. He would have kept spewing his insane delusional fantasies in front of a camera.

I believe that the $25 million reward was intended to tempt a local Afghan warlord into taking the enormous risk of securing all the necessary resources, including arms, transportation, many soldiers, spies, etc. to make a serious attempt to get past Bin Laden's fanatical personal security force, seize or kill Bin Laden, and defend himself from Al Queda loyalists afterwards.