and Them = A-rabs and NK, Africa and any other basket case econimy we can think of.
US = Ummm, white folks, the Chinese and India
OK, that's the glib version.
I like this part:
The most naïve assumption underlying that dream is that reducing what little connectivity the Gap has with the Core will render it less dangerous to us over the long haul. Turning the Middle East into Central Africa will not build a better world for my kids. We cannot simply will those people away.
The Middle East is the perfect place to start. Diplomacy cannot work in a region where the biggest sources of insecurity lie not between states but within them. What is most wrong about the Middle East is the lack of personal freedom and how that translates into dead-end lives for most of the population—especially for the young. Some states like Qatar and Jordan are ripe for perestroika-like leaps into better political futures, thanks to younger leaders who see the inevitability of such change. Iran is likewise waiting for the right Gorbachev to come along—if he has not already.
What stands in the path of this change? Fear. Fear of tradition unraveling. Fear of the mullah’s disapproval. Fear of being labeled a “bad” or “traitorous” Muslim state. Fear of becoming a target of radical groups and terrorist networks. But most of all, fear of being attacked from all sides for being different—the fear of becoming Israel.
The Middle East has long been a neighborhood of bullies eager to pick on the weak. Israel is still around because it has become—sadly—one of the toughest bullies on the block. The only thing that will change that nasty environment and open the floodgates for change is if some external power steps in and plays Leviathan full-time. Taking down Saddam, the region’s bully-in-chief, will force the U.S. into playing that role far more fully than it has over the past several decades, primarily because Iraq is the Yugoslavia of the Middle East—a crossroads of civilizations that has historically required a dictatorship to keep the peace. As baby-sitting jobs go, this one will be a doozy, making our lengthy efforts in postwar Germany and Japan look simple in retrospect.
If Iraq turns into a Yugoslavia - i.e. splits 3, 4, 5 ways - expect more turmoil in the region than with Sadamm in power.
Africa, for example, will need far more aid than the Core has offered in the past, and the integration of the Gap will ultimately depend more on private investment than anything the Core’s public sector can offer.
Agreed - public and private investment and less mere lip service to free trade.
Which is what some on both left and right have been saying all along.
Shrinking the "Gap" require engagement - not disengagement.
And not necessarily military too.
cheers,
Tony
Current Events » in reply to And another...
Boils down to Us v. Them
The whole thread (14 posts)
- And another...
- Boils down to Us v. Them
- a remarkable essay...
- And some can say a lot with just a few words
- Thanks, Tom.
