Just to throw some paperwork into this argument (and not for the first time):

This is a presentation of the evidence by the CIA as it knew the facts in October of 2002.

I do not believe that one has to be either a liar or an idiot to read these things and arrive at the conclusion that Iraq was a danger in this area.

And if the "house is white on this side" types cling to words like "probably" and other such modifiers, cling away.

Just tell me to my face that President Al Gore would have looked at this material and arrived at a totally different conclusion about the behavior of Iraq--especially given his past history with Iraq as vice-president--than Bush did.