You don't see any fallacy in putting up Kay's words from October last year* as opposed to what he said last bloody week?

I don't know. Do you? Considering the entire current thesis of the anti-Bush element of this board is that Bush is a failure at best and a criminal at worst, for not knowing in 2002 what Kay spent almost a year digging up in 2003. And that when all opposition to his work had been eliminated by military force.

If Kay, or whoever advised him, thinks those trailers were for the mobile production of rocket fuel, he is dead wrong. I can say that with the confidence of someone who makes his living dealing with that stuff. I will accept the possibility of hydrogen generators, which I do not make my living designing, although nobody has explained to my satisfaction why such artillery balloon systems, readily available on the open market, would need to be developed as much larger and bizarrely constructed custom items.

At the least, the very statement "hydrogen gas or rocket fuel" shows that whoever fed these alternatives to Kay doesn't know what they're talking about, nor do they know jack about what the trailers were actually for. And I would say that to their face.

Two weeks ago Kay as much as said the weapons had been moved to Syria:

"We are not talking about a large stockpile of weapons," he said. "But we know from some of the interrogations of former Iraqi officials that a lot of material went to Syria before the war, including some components of Saddam's WMD programme. Precisely what went to Syria, and what has happened to it, is a major issue that needs to be resolved."

Italics mine. Does that sound like an uncertain statement to you?

Yet later he vagued out on it. Why?

DEBKAfile has been insisting this was the case for over a year, but DEBKAfile has a very high pantload factor, and I don't consider it a reliable source.

What has been an odd feature of all this, is a seeming tendency of the Bush administration to actually shy away from possible evidence. I did the work on the trailers myself, and a phone call to Marconi from someone Marconi would be willing to talk to would have answered a lot of questions months ago. And I'm just a guy in front of a computer.

I don't quite understand it, but considering the bar for level of proof has been raised to the ionosphere, Bush is probably gun-shy of anything not carved in stone, and no doubt Kay is the same way. Unfortunately, their opponents have no problem clearing nine-foot conclusions from a standing start.