State polls reveal how misleading the popular vote total may be
Polls suggest that Kerry could win the popular vote by 2%-3% yet still lose the Electoral Vote if Bush pulls out a narrow victory in Florida, which is exactly what happened in 2000 of course. The reason is primarily due to California and New York, states where Kerry will pile up an impressive but meaningless 4 million vote margin (just as good as a 4 vote margin) and all the small states that Bush will snap up by smaller margins, in absolute terms.