Space/Science — HabitableZone

Space/Science » in reply to Any predicitions?

None from me

As we saw with the first flight attempt, many things have to work properly before they can even attempt to light the engine. It's a high risk flight profile. The Pegasus has to separate cleanly from the BUFF, ignite, pitch up and climb, level off and accelerate to a very high speed, then shutdown and separate cleanly from the X-43A. The X-43A then has to open the engine inlet and successfully ignite the propellant. Tricky stuff.

Let's all hope for a success.

Positive net thrust at Mach 10 would be a wonderful achievement. I still think that AW&ST article I referenced last week has some good points about developing a Mach 7 scramjet powered first stage. For one thing, 20K pounds to LEO is a pretty good payload, especially with the combination of significantly lower risk (should result in much lower insurance premiums) and about a 1/3rd reduction in per-pound cost to orbit. Combined, those savings could result in a substancial reduction in flight costs, and developing a Mach 7 first stage should cost a lot less than going for Mach 10+. Amortizing the higher R&D costs could more than offset any operational cost savings achieved by making a faster first stage. All too often, I see projects spend an incredible amount of money trying to squeeze the last few percentage points of performance out of a system, only to make the system too expensive to operate.

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