Current Events — HabitableZone

Current Events

Latest Iraq poll on elections

From the Washington Post:

An overwhelming majority of Iraqis continue to say they intend to vote on Jan. 30 even as insurgents press attacks aimed at rendering the elections a failure, according to a new public opinion survey.

The poll, conducted in late December and early January for the International Republican Institute, found 80 percent of respondents saying they were likely to vote, a rate that has held roughly steady for months.

The 64 percent who said they were "very likely" to vote represented a dip of about 7 percentage points from a November survey, while those "somewhat likely" to vote increased 5 points.


This is significant, since the poll included responses outside Baghdad, which an earlier poll (with similar numbers) did not.

Links to original poll data can be found here. I urge everyone to look at the original presentation, unfortunately in Powerpoint format.

Iraq the Model makes an additional point on the polling here.

The Left sees the writing on the wall, and is already laying heavy groundwork to show that no matter how successful the elections, they are inherently "illegitimate." Belmont Club comments on this here, here, and here.

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