Good question.

Current Events » in reply to How do you explain the trend?

Good question.

TB — 5/7/2013 11:42:44 PM (archived)

Here's a longer trend chart for violence in general. (Gun violence alone follows similar trends):

http://i2.wp.com/themonkeycage.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/violence.png

What's interesting is that if you look at curves for other Western nations, the heights of the curves vary, but the general shape, with peaks in the early 90s and declines thereafter, are similar. This implies something beyond the knee-jerk explanations.

ADDED: Another long-trend chart for homicides:

http://d1ovi2g6vebctw.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/murder-rate-trend-1900-2010.jpg

The whole thread (11 posts)

Gun crime trends - TB - 5/7/2013 10:36:49 PM
- And? The DOJ is not a good source for these things. - bowser - 5/8/2013 10:13:24 PM
- How do you explain the trend? - alcaray - 5/7/2013 11:02:45 PM
  - All crimes are trending down, and especially violent crimes. - ER - 5/7/2013 11:47:47 PM
    - Lead Begets Lead? - podrock - 5/8/2013 12:12:29 AM
      - If you look at the second chart in my comment below, the theory kind of breaks down. - TB - 5/8/2013 12:19:27 AM
        
        Perhaps the answer is staring us in the face. - ER - 5/8/2013 12:42:25 AM
        
        It's not like they just started jailing people in 1990. - TB - 5/8/2013 1:59:50 AM
        
        Actually, they pretty much DID start jailing people in 1990. - ER - 5/8/2013 1:05:04 PM
    - Then again, maybe declining church membership has something to do with it. - ER - 5/8/2013 12:03:50 AM
  - Good question. - TB - 5/7/2013 11:42:44 PM

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