re: So now add this to the mix
I'm going with # 3.
Consider the author;
twbookmark.com
No one knows more about modern terrorism -- its impetus, its technology, its secrets, its inevitable tragedy -- than Bassam Abu-Sharif, a former Palestinian guerrilla, and Uzi Mahnaimi, a former Israeli spymaster.
my bold
Nevertheless if either country bombs Iran it will be a big mistake as Iran has threatened to stop oil sales on any kind of interference and that will have large consequences.