"Intrade market sees 14.6 pct chance Palin withdrawn." And right now a 61% chance Obama wins.
NEW YORK (Reuters) - "The online prediction market Intrade sees a 14.6 percent chance Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin will be withdrawn as the Republican vice presidential nominee before the U.S. presidential election on November 4."
"He called prediction markets more accurate than public opinion polls and said Intrade forecast President George W. Bush's reelection in 2004 while correctly indicating the results in all 50 states."
"The market gives Democratic U.S. Sen. Barack Obama a 61.6 percent chance of a November win, with McCain at 38.6 percent."
Arf