Space/Science — HabitableZone

Space/Science » in reply to Moore's law and the learning curve

re: Moore's law and the learning curve

I simply don't see how any of that is inevitable! As you say some of those technologies were thought to be near term 30 years ago. We are in the process of perfecting those technolgies....still!

A space suit is a very sense restricting thing as you say, and yet a convincing VR simulation of being in one would probably be available to about as many people as could afford a ticket to the ISS. A convincing simulation of being on the ISS or a moonbase, standing next to a tree grown in 1/6th gravity, involves all five senses at full speed and the sense of balance- where do I find one of those?

You are in essence asking space agencies and companes to design their strategies around markets that don't exist yet and technologies that will be available 'at some point' in the future. Looking at the last century, most of the big advancements and events were unexpected and unpredicted, so I don't subscribe to the view that the advancements you idea banks on are inevitable to become widespread, or to be perfected near term.

We can argue about this all day, but I believe it comes down to your predictions of what will come to pass versus my day to day experiance of what we have to work with now, and so we wil not come to a conclusion until the future reaches us. If we are having this conversation again in ten years in a virtual starbucks then I will be truly delighted to conceed your point!

No need to apologies for the long post, you're clearly both knowledgable and passionate about this.

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