Good analysis
And any autocrat who has so obviously and visibly failed will be likely to do something really foolish to avoid being disgraced. He is not the kind of man to realize that the ultimate sign of courage and leadership is the willingness to be publicly humiliated in order to save one's followers a devastating defeat. Putin is not Emperor Hirohito. Like Hitler in his bunker, he will drag his country down into the abyss with him rather than suffer a personal humiliation.