Re: Odds are surprisingly high
No, we can't tell the inclination from the wobble. The old i*sine(i) problem. Yields a minimum mass for the suspected planet.
The wobble technique is slow and limited to a couple hundred LY (brightness of the solar type star at that distance) with Keck sized scopes.
Kepler et. al. look at rich star fields full of a million + stars and play the stats game of detecting that low percentage of stars with REPEATABLE occultations that dim the star. An Earthlike planet should see 3 occultations. If the star is approximately solar brightness, that's 3 years of watching.