OK
Cut the "hundreds of" but keep the cynicism...
I'll wager you we see no more than six* shuttle flights ever again.
* random number >2, but now I've picked it, I'll stick with it. I still think there is good chance than n=0.
Standard wager, a crate/case of liquour/wine of your choice, currently available on the open market, no speciality or vintages. Mine is a crate of Laphroag single malt. Yours is?
(I'll donate to charity if you prefer, or some other reasonable outcome)