Hey, I can't do ALL the research around here. Your graph doesn't come up in the post, but does appear when you click on the "X."

I would venture a guess that every President's poll ratings go up when an external crisis threatens.

The statistics paper is over my head as far as the methodology is concerned, so I have to take it as it stands.

Of the six orange alerts on the chart you show, only two actually seem to precede a specific rise in the red curve. Further data on the right would be instructive. I'm not sure how rigorously he graphed his curve on the data either. The same guy also buys into the election fraud theory.