Oh it's worse than that. Presumedly Tom read the two intel reports and now knows...

Bush and Cheney chose to believe the intel about WMD (no matter how absurd and contradictory), believed the intel they would easily defeat Hussein's army, but they didn't believe the intel that said it would be no picnic afterwards.

All this intel came from the same places. Why believe the first two and not the last? Incompetents and religious fervor?

There is worse. If you project a few years in the future Iraq becomes unstable. After the dust settles out it's stabilized by a religious leader an ayatollah and becomes something like Iran. We lose control of our puppet state and have wasted hundreds of billions on making a huge breeding ground for terrorists. Lucky us! We have this total genius as POTUS.