Off Topic — HabitableZone

Off Topic » in reply to And you think your luck is bad??

probability Theory and "bad luck"

Simeon-Denis Poisson is a renowned mathematician http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution. He explored probability theory and has several things named after him. Most famously, he studied the statistics of the stables of the Prussian Army and counted the number of soldiers kicked to death by horses in each year over a long period of equine military technology.

He developed powerful theorems that cover both "bad" and 'good" luck, in the case of rare events (e.g. winning the lottery, being kicked to death by a horse while clearing out a stable, or being struck by lightning). His statistics show that there is nothing unusual about years where two or three or five people are kicked to death, if the average is about one or two per year.

Some people win the lottery twice

Some people get struck by lightning twice, and survive.

There are probably not enough people on the planet for someone to score 3 hits...

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