"Forget War With Iran."

"That's the main implication of the startling new intelligence estimate that Tehran isn't working on a bomb. But the long-term impact is just as significant. A look at the winners and losers."

"- - - he would be facing a full-scale rebellion in the Pentagon if he undertook such an action, possibly even the mass resignations of his defense secretary, CENTCOM commander and director of national intelligence.

"The second, and less noted, effect of the new NIE is that the already tattered credibility of this administration over its assessment of dangers abroad is now shredded—simply gone with the wind."

I believe the second statement is a real "DUH". Even the most avid (read "rabid") neocons cannot deny that a reasonable and prudent person could ever believe Bush, Cheney or Rice again.

I've got $50 riding on this, and if Bush, or his proxy Israel, doesn't attack Iran it will be the best $50 I've ever spent.

Arf