Do you even believe what you've been saying?
After constantly talking about 1998, you then say that if it's beaten in the next five years that would just be a statistically unimportant anomaly due to a powerful El Nino.
What exactly is 1998 then but the same thing?
Re UAH temp series, I don't know enough about it to know whether it'll get beaten in the next five years like I expect the various surface series. I'm happy to bet over exclusively water-based instrumental records.