Excellent info Sawyer. Sorry about Blondie.
The science blog 'Dynamics of Cats' is an excellent source of semi-insider info on Kepler. The author is an astrophysicist with connections in the community.
"Kepler will provide good statistics on the abundance of planetary systems in the galactic neighbourhood, for stars with masses from about that of the mass of the Sun to about half that mass, and for orbital periods shorter than about a year.
Kepler ought to be sensitive to planets in the habitable zone of K-stars, and may be able to see planets with masses as low as Earth mass, for the lowest mass stars it can reliably observe, if the instruments work to specification or better.
Kepler is almost six months into its mission, and the early data has been analyzed.
Most of the candidate systems have not been followed up, and most will require independent confirmation, preferably through determination of radial velocity variation of the star by observing the Doppler shift of the star's spectrum with ground based high resolution spectrographs, observing for extended periods over a long baseline, using the largest possible telescopes.
So, the most interesting stuff will take time to confirm.
They confirm that followups on candidate detections are in process and they expect to have announcements of confirmed discovery for short period low mass planets in early 2010 (watch for AAS Jan meeting announcement, I guess).
In about 2012 they can talk about any confirmed detections for (near)earth mass planets in longer period orbits, going up to one year orbits.
If I had to guess, I'd say watch for 1-few Earth mass planets in month-year orbits around KV stars - that is likely to be their hot discovery space.
"
OK so a few months ago after launch as an impatient redhead I speculated on possible Kepler discovery announcements by Thanksgiving. I'm sure that if all goes well, Sig's expectation of Jan 2010 at the AAS is spot on.
Space/Science » in reply to Summary of briefing
re: Summary of briefing...more info & outlook
The whole thread (11 posts)
- Reminder: Kepler "early science" briefing today at 2pm EDT
