My prediction for the next few months in Iraq
"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future." -- Niels Bohr
Nonetheless, I will risk this one, or really two.
After the upcoming general elections one of these two things will happen:
1. The Sunnis who are revolting against the new government will decide to join up, thereby ending most of the violence, leaving only Al Qaeda and a few holdouts doing the fighting;
or
2. The Shi'ite-Kurd dominated government will get sick and tired of the Sunnis and begin a policy of total destruction of the Sunnis in Iraq. Since they outnumber the Sunnis 4 to 1, and are backed by the USA's massive firepower, they have an excellent chance for success.
