I'll bet you a quarter that doesn't happen.

The political constellation behind continued shuttle operations is simply too strong, especially in an election year, and ESPECIALLY in a year in which Tom DeLay, who represents JSC, will be fighting for his life, not to mention the FLorida Senate race.

There is documented evidence that Rove has in the past met with top political appointees of agencies to discuss the impact upcoming program and regulatory decsions could affect upcoming House and Senate races.

No way Shuttle gets shut down in 2006, unless there is another loss of crew accident.

Beyond 2006, I predict other things get sacrificed to save Shuttle / ISS, at least through another round or two of fly, fail, fix.