You might have a point on my interpretation.
The statistics are very dense in this report, and it's not my strong suit. Other people more versed in statistics have commented on it. The main point is that the projection of their hard data across Iraq has a lot of holes in it, and the links to such comments were posted earlier in this thread.
Simply claiming that one set of data was published in the "Lancet" and is therefore somehow better, is not a very good argument.