Current Events — HabitableZone

Current Events » in reply to Try looking at a longer timeframe

Try looking past the synopsis

The ironic thing is that those guys were looking for cyclical phenomenon, and so they "detrended" the data: "Regardless of source, the ultra-low frequency variation is removed prior to the analysis". They were looking for cycles of a decade or less, and removed any longer-period variation.

Look at their Figure 1, raw data before "detrending". The caption says "Note the low frequency change in annual abundance over the 111-yr period."--the change they're talking about is positive. If I'm reading this right, they found, but removed, a longterm trend showing an increase in hurricane frequency.

In other words, they were specifically not taking the long view.

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