You demand models be able to predict accurately (to what fraction of a degree?) past temperatures (accounting for annual variation how?) before relying on computer models to make any decision. I think that is pure head in the sand ignore a problem until it smacks me over the head thinking.
What I think is reasonable is that if you have something like a 70 % confidence that global warming will have major consequences over the next hundred years then you ought to start trying to address the issue by developing new technology. I believe current models do give us at least that much confidence. I don't support simple minded solutions like shutting down industries or eliminating automobiles which will cause problems as bad or worse than those caused by global warming.
Regards,
Mark
Space/Science » in reply to When the models don't reflect the real world...
The Short Response
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- Global warming and blind trust in computer models
- Perfection
- Re: Global warming and blind trust in computer models
- Any computer model is only as good...
- blind trust in computer models
- From the link you provided:
- Computer models are pretty much beside the point...
- Same Old Bait & Switch