How can you explain the 45-year period (1930 to 1975) when CO2 increased but temperature decreased? It sounds like climate is a hell of a lot more complicated than your explanations.
It comes down to good science and good policy on one side and pseudoscientific belief on the other. The science of climate change is not yet good enough to put much faith in the computer models, no matter how flashy or sexy. Until the models do a better job, it's simply irrational to put any faith in them to guide something as complex as energy policy.
As someone who programs for a living, I know that it's easy to skew a model to fit one's political agenda. What are your qualifications when it comes to knowing how software is developed and how it behaves? Are you commenting from years of experience at developing systems, or are you pulling your beliefs from the same anal data store where you got your "70%" figure?
As for poor countries, there was an article that I posted just a couple weeks ago about the Asian brown cloud that was killing a lot of people. Virtually all of those countries that are emitting the pollution that causes the brown cloud are exempt from Kyoto. They're free to pollute as much as they want and we're expected to whack our economy to make up for it. Sounds like a fool's bargain to me. Instead, we can work with those countries to help them improve their standard of living with cleaner technologies.
The fact of the matter is that the climate is changing as it has throughout geologic history. We can try to stop it if we think we have that kind of power but ultimately, the climate is a lot bigger than all of us. Some studies have stated that even if we implement all of the Kyoto Accords, the climate change will only be reduced by a tiny fraction of a degree. If they're right, then Kyoto accomplishes virtually nothing because we'll have to adapt to a warming climate anyway. Perhaps we'd be better off spending our time studying the impacts of a warmer climate - both good and bad impacts - and adapting to meet the changes that are probably inevitable.
About 250 years ago, the "Little Ice Age" came to an end and the climate warmed substancially. People adapted to the change and survived. If we're not able to do the same, then perhaps we've gotten too weak and spoiled to survive.
Space/Science » in reply to Dogma Is "If I Don't Like It, I Won't Believe It"
You still didn't answer the questions
The whole thread (36 posts)
- Global warming and blind trust in computer models
- Perfection
- Re: Global warming and blind trust in computer models
- Any computer model is only as good...
- blind trust in computer models
- From the link you provided:
- Computer models are pretty much beside the point...
- Same Old Bait & Switch
