re: The second derivative effect.
An interesting theory, but then why doesn't this "subconscious" manifest itself in violence in a wider range of cultures? Or even in the Western nations where the change is taking place? Have you noticed that there aren't nearly as many Luddites in America as you would think there should be? (Discounting certain factions of Deep Environmentalism)
A lot of people seem to be trying to avoid the fact that most of our current problems stem from a particular religion undergoing a specific aberration in parts of it. Maybe this is just the "weak point" where the forces you talk about are coming through, but the simpler answer is that a poisonous meme is spreading through the Muslim world that has to be dealt with.