That rebuttal would have been stronger six months ago, when worry about future events was pure speculation. But by now we've witnessed events that support my negative speculation.
I wrote that Bush "will" alienate our former allies, but in fact he already has, hasn't he? Similarly, much of the world is already pissed off at America, as six million protesters and continual America-bashing testify.
Further, I'm playing the odds. Suppose 99% of the Arab world is ecstatic when we destroy Iraq and occupy the ruins. Sounds good, except that the remaining 1% translates into over 3 million potential new recruits for the terrorists. If only 1% of those actually sign up, we've still provoked a doubling of the ranks of the terrorists. It only takes a small failure to have big consequences.
I don't wish for a negative outcome, and I appreciate that your hopes are for a positive outcome. I hope you end up correct. But I can't bury my head in the sand and ignore what I see. My worries are not groundless.
--Robert
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