Last I saw, aNWR projected production could be 800,000 bpd
(or are jms correctly points out, since there has been no drilling - this figure could be as low as zero, nado zilch)
Saudi imports to US are in the order of 1.5-2 million bpd.
If what slips, ANWR could in theory make up the difference but maybe not.
And ed is still wrong about the article. Yes there are vast reserves, but there are no new reserves.
Unless we get more efficient about how much we can physically extract the SA output WILL start to decline.
Relatively soon.......
Gas - IMHO - and I'm pretty much in a SDAI-sized minority here - gas powered power stations are inherently wrong.
You get far less bang for your buck converting gas into electricity than you do for heating by gas or cooking by gas. Household use - 90-100% efficiency. Elec generation - 30-50%, followed by efficiency loss in transmission and whatever you use it for.
Using it for electric generation is a waste of resources.
And....
While I agree about the renewable energy welfare program in general, renewables (coupled with micro-generation) are the long term solution.
If you applied the same cost analysis - from birth to storage to decommission to subsidies - nuclear energy would likely be prohibitively expensive.
Current Events » in reply to But his point remains
ANWR Estimates and other stuff
The whole thread (45 posts)
- The View From The Summit of the Petroleum Curve
- Difference between discovery curves and production curves
- The article doesn't really say that
- only from the headline on down (n/t)
- Only if you don't read it. Don't forget:the NYT is lying to you (n/t)
- Everyone is lying to me, it comes from the top.
- No, just the NYT. SA has vast proven reserves untouched.
- Of course, as always, drilling for new reserves is completely out of the question. (n/t)
- Everyone is lying to me, it comes from the top.
- Only if you don't read it. Don't forget:the NYT is lying to you (n/t)
- only from the headline on down (n/t)
- All we need is a 0.5% shortfall.
- Running on Empty
- Grim. I didn't realize how grim.
- We're walking off of a cliff
- Too Pessimistic. The future will be Magnificent!
- re:And build a high speed train network!:) (n/t)
- Lessee. If I am in the US, and my job is in India - A train? (n/t)
- We are not French, we don't know how to build trains that work (n/t)
- re: re:And build a high speed train network!:)
- We're walking off of a cliff
- Grim. I didn't realize how grim.
- Running on Empty
