As well as any time delays due to the HUGE thermal capacity of the oceans, the other thing to realise is that the temperature structure of the oceans is not simple.
Shallow surface waters have a temperature driven by local climate. In the tropics, sea water can be up to 30 degrees C in temperature, year-round. However, this warm zone only extends down to the thermocline at 100-200m depth. Above the thermocline, waves mix the water and the temperature is near-constant. below it, the temperature drops exponentially to meet the deep bottom-water temperature at the density minimum for water at 4 degrees C. Mixing is slow and inefficient below the wavebase.
Even if all permanent ice is removed from the Arctic, seasonal freezing and thawing will maintain the supply of (some) deep bottom water at the density minimum.
As a consequence, any thermal effect in the ocean is happening at the surface only, and fades away to zero at depth.\
Mathematically, the thermal expansion will be almost exactly half what you calculate, and don't forget hystereisis. How long does it take to boil a kettle of water? How long will sunshine take to warm up the entire oceans?
Space/Science » in reply to Part 1: Global Warming and Sea Level Change READ TO THE END before responding
Thermocline and temperature structure of the ocean
The whole thread (59 posts)
- Part 1: Global Warming and Sea Level Change READ TO THE END before responding
- Temperature rise
- How much new arable land becomes available due to a global warming cycle?
- For temperature rise on the low side of the range...
- The world will definitely be worse, much worse.
- re: Part 1: Global Warming and Sea Level Change READ TO THE END before responding
- Thermocline and temperature structure of the ocean
- Thermal expansion of ocean water.
- re: Global Warming and Sea Level Change
- re the antarctica data...
- Okay, are you sure you put the right link?
- I will go over the points in detail later today, but let me just say this now
- sea ice extent currently is BELOW the recent mean
- Ocean temperature update
- Arrrrgh, not sure how it became IIPC it should read IPCC (n/t)
