Space/Science — HabitableZone

Space/Science » in reply to We disagree by several orders of magnitude

Try Using Scientific Terms
Marsby — (archived)

Since you are a scientist, not rhetorical BS like flags and footprints. Apollo was FF, a 1.5 year scientific mission on Mars is not. It is most certainly not when it is used to develope/test/refine techniques to allow even longer stays on Mars. This technology is relatively independent of launch technology. The large heavy lift vehicles needed are not exceedingly expensive compared to lower mass boosters. They will be cheaper if enough are launched. They are also needed to launch the infrastructure needed to provide a basis for LEO comercialization. That will in turn drive lower launch costs while scientific missions to Mars are also developing the technology to extend stays there. These are positive interconnected feedback loops unlike the aimless waste of time projects we have been pursuing for the last 30 years. Positive feedback loops are needed to drive rapid progress.

Oil prices say you are whistling dixie with regards to resources. They are still relatively high despite the worst post war recession and will zoom back above $4.00 when the recovery takes hold. Alternatives will be developed eventually I am sure baring some worldwide collapse, but the upheaval in between may be drastic.

Regards,
Mark

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