Good thought........

Current Events » in reply to re: Why would a US withdrawal result in an all out civil war?

Good thought........

Publius — 10/11/2006 9:38:43 PM (archived)

But in the end the result is inconsequential. When the war started I made the prediction the end result would a balkanization of Iraq because the tribal groups involved just didn't get along. The Kurds want no part of the Sunni, and the Shiia just don't want to be dominated by either group. I even went so far as to invoke the old Kingston Trio song about Rioting in Africa.

In any case, in the improbable event the Iraq factions would be so happy to get rid of their occupiers they would join together in an Arab love feast and work as one in a representative government it wouldn't change the reality. This reality is that a major goal has been accomplished by the US that the Iraqi outcome won't alter. The US will have brought Iraq to a position of self-determination when our troops leave. This will endure as a historical discontinuity of substantial proportions for the middle-east. And the sooner US troops come home, the sooner this hand can play out.

Publius

The whole thread (41 posts)

Limiting Failure - alcaray - 10/11/2006 6:44:50 PM
- "Get all these palefaces out of here." (Unknown Marine--1975) - ER - 10/11/2006 8:19:53 PM
  - It won't happen while Bush is in office. - Scott Evil - 10/12/2006 3:51:45 PM
  - re: Why would a US withdrawal result in an all out civil war? - Raoul - 10/11/2006 9:22:48 PM
    - I hope you are right - alcaray - 10/12/2006 6:25:58 PM
      - re: What is so shameful - Raoul - 10/12/2006 7:31:43 PM
        
        Won't have that problem. President McCain did vote for the war. (n/t) - Murph the Smurf - 10/13/2006 1:35:11 PM
    - Really an Iraqi Civil War wouldn't be all bad... - Scott Evil - 10/12/2006 3:55:11 PM
      - Iraqi Shiites have little in common with Iran - Lee - 10/13/2006 6:55:13 AM
      - Relax ALCRAY... That was sarcasm... - Scott Evil - 10/12/2006 4:07:36 PM
        
        ok... Jesse Jackson Might get away with the "vaulted" slip up...But I expect arrows! - Scott Evil - 10/12/2006 4:09:35 PM
    - I'm afraid I must disagree, Raoul. - ER - 10/11/2006 11:42:21 PM
      - Postponement - Tom Brosz - 10/12/2006 1:00:22 AM
        
        Sticking to the Democrats will surrender theme I see. - Tony - 10/12/2006 2:35:36 AM
        
        Now yer talking some sense. And you're already blaming Democrats. - Bowser - 10/12/2006 1:08:57 AM
        
        Face it, Tom. The Islamists have Iraq. They've had it for 2 years. (n/t) - ER - 10/12/2006 1:05:54 AM
        
        re: Face it - Tom Brosz - 10/12/2006 1:40:21 AM
        
        Tom, THINK! - ER - 10/12/2006 2:23:54 AM
        
        You think. - Tom Brosz - 10/12/2006 2:44:00 AM
        
        Ahh, Tom - Publius - 10/12/2006 9:00:48 PM
        
        re: Ahh, Publius - Tom Brosz - 10/13/2006 1:44:11 AM
        
        re: You think. - ER - 10/12/2006 3:28:23 AM
        
        Think strategically for a moment... - SDAI-Tech1 - 10/12/2006 4:18:50 AM
        
        I don't agree. - Tom Brosz - 10/12/2006 4:23:36 AM
        
        You're not cynical enough Tom - SDAI-Tech1 - 10/12/2006 4:36:57 AM
        
        re: You think. - Tom Brosz - 10/12/2006 3:43:33 AM
        
        re: You think. - ER - 10/12/2006 4:43:10 AM
        
        re: You think. - Tom Brosz - 10/12/2006 5:14:06 AM
        
        bravo - Ian Cognito - 10/12/2006 3:39:29 AM
        
        Your side has no solutions at all. - Tom Brosz - 10/12/2006 3:44:33 AM
        
        Remember when Clinton used to submit proposed budgets to the Republican congress? - alcaray - 10/12/2006 5:42:19 PM
        
        We have the most important part of the solution in hand - Robert - 10/12/2006 4:27:49 PM
        
        Ah. The "we have a Secret Plan" gambit. - Tom Brosz - 10/12/2006 10:07:07 PM
        
        Ah, the "I got nothing either, but you're a weiner" gambit (n/t) - tony - 10/13/2006 2:21:14 AM
        
        Your side has no solutions. No plan, no nothin'. - Bowser - 10/12/2006 6:34:00 AM
        
        Balls - Ian Cognito - 10/12/2006 4:27:55 AM
        
        Actually, I must confess I agree with you on that comment. (n/t) - ER - 10/12/2006 3:54:24 AM
        
        which one? - I.C. - 10/12/2006 4:38:45 AM
        
        That wasn't directed at you. - Tom Brosz - 10/12/2006 4:04:25 AM
    - Good thought........ - Publius - 10/11/2006 9:38:43 PM
- "Quagmire" AND "Civil War" They've managed "both - and", not "either - or". - Bowser - 10/11/2006 8:06:10 PM

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