Off Topic — HabitableZone

Off Topic » in reply to 40 years is just as unbelievable.

Here are some temperature statistics I found...

...that I don't have adequate information on. Maybe they are for Tromso? They go back to '94 and have min, max and number of samples. Their methology is not explained. Is min simply the lowest recorded value on any of their observations throughout the month? Is it the average of the lowest readings for every day from each station, througout the month?

In any case, I assumed that their min statistic corresponds in some meaningful way to your definition of min in your theory, and their max to your max. I did some calculations:

I calculated the deviation (absolute value of min - max) for each month for the years '94, '97, '00, '03, '06. Then I added up these deviations to get a net deviation for the year. According to your theory I should see a marked 32% increase in deviation over the 13 year period. Instead I found:

'94 -- 198.2
'97 -- 210.2
'00 -- 199.9
'03 -- 217.5
'06 -- 206.7

I don't see any obvious trend in these numbers. [Obviously, my mathmatical methodology is naive. But even so, if there was a huge trend as you say, it should have been glaringly visible.]

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