re: Guess you haven't hear the news yet: the cometary impact hazard is far greater than was believed earlier

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re: Guess you haven't hear the news yet: the cometary impact hazard is far greater than was believed earlier

phil — 3/21/2005 1:28:04 AM (archived)

Is there a published paper or communication which details the rationale for Shoe's revised cometary flux estimates?

Based on historical records, it appears that the present cometary rate of infall is so low that the probability of collision over a millenium is quite low.

The whole thread (75 posts)

The Moon as a test bed. - RobVG - 3/20/2005 12:04:44 AM
- Guess you haven't hear the news yet: the cometary impact hazard is far greater than was believed earlier - E.P. Grondine - 3/20/2005 9:41:10 AM
  - re: Guess you haven't hear the news yet: the cometary impact hazard is far greater than was believed earlier - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 2:46:48 PM
    - re: Guess you haven't hear the news yet: the cometary impact hazard is far greater than was believed earlier - E.P. Grondine - 3/21/2005 1:24:08 AM
      - re: Guess you haven't hear the news yet: the cometary impact hazard is far greater than was believed earlier - phil - 3/21/2005 1:28:04 AM
        
        re: Guess you haven't hear the news yet: the cometary impact hazard is far greater than was believed earlier - E.P. Grondine - 3/21/2005 4:07:43 PM
- The Earth & LEO As Test Bed. - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 3:25:14 AM
  - re: The Earth & LEO As Test Bed. - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 5:59:02 PM
    - Hello Is There Anything In There? - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 6:29:21 PM
      - re: Hello Is There Anything In There? - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 7:31:15 PM
        
        Sorry For The Sarcastic Title - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 8:03:58 PM
  - And as Yet Nobody Has Addressed The Oversights In The Original Article - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 3:55:42 PM
    - Foolish Mars only Arguments - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 4:06:07 PM
      - Sure Save Them All - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 4:24:06 PM
        
        Moon, Mars and Beyond. - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 5:20:03 PM
        
        The Reason Is Twofold - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 5:41:04 PM
        
        Its about experience building - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 6:03:58 PM
        
        Consistancy Isn't Important To You Is It? - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 6:48:28 PM
        
        Aer you really an engineer? - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 7:33:47 PM
        
        Right Approach Wrong Context Again - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 7:41:31 PM
    - re: And as Yet Nobody Has Addressed The Oversights In The Original Article - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 4:02:26 PM
      - So Sam Admits Going to the Moon First Won't Improve the Odds of Making it to Mars? - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 4:16:52 PM
        
        Lessons from Experience... - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 5:41:24 PM
        
        Start With A false Premise, Reach A False Conclusion - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 5:53:14 PM
        
        re: Start With A false Premise, Reach A False Conclusion - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 6:05:32 PM
        
        Explain That Pretext - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 6:52:57 PM
        
        re: Explain That Pretext - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 7:38:02 PM
  - re: The Earth & LEO As Test Bed. - Chris Vancil - 3/20/2005 7:17:01 AM
    - Sure Let's Add Enough Cost To Kill The Program - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 2:10:53 PM
      - re: Sure Let's Add Enough Cost To Kill The Program - Chris Vancil - 3/20/2005 10:54:12 PM
    - re: The Earth & LEO As Test Bed. - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 1:57:35 PM
      - re: The Earth & LEO As Test Bed. - Chris Vancil - 3/20/2005 11:03:13 PM
      - Does 1970 Stand For The Last Year You Had An Original Thought? - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 2:07:40 PM
        
        re: Does 1970 Stand For The Last Year You Had An Original Thought? - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 2:19:51 PM
  - Ok - Buck Galaxy - 3/20/2005 5:04:28 AM
    - re: Okay - Chris Vancil - 3/20/2005 7:08:09 AM
    - There's A Big Difference - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 5:08:29 AM
      - Thanks for the clarification (n/t) - Buck Galaxy - 3/20/2005 5:11:19 AM
  - re: The Earth & LEO As Test Bed. - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 4:18:52 AM
    - re: The Earth & LEO As Test Bed. - Chris Vancil - 3/20/2005 7:10:19 AM
      - re: The Earth & LEO As Test Bed. - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 2:01:46 PM
        
        You Don't Have To Go To The Moon To Design A Backup System - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 2:14:00 PM
        
        re: You Don't Have To Go To The Moon To Design A Backup System - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 2:23:05 PM
        
        I Am an Engineer - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 2:33:41 PM
        
        re: I Am an Engineer - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 3:45:42 PM
        
        The Enginners Did Not Decide That - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 3:59:18 PM
        
        re: The Enginners Did Not Decide That - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 6:10:57 PM
        
        May Have Missed Something - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 7:11:40 PM
        
        re: May Have Missed Something - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 7:41:49 PM
        
        Agian Field Testing Is Good, Testing In The Wrong Field Is Bad - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 7:48:47 PM
        
        Wow Have You Got That Wrong - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 7:01:27 PM
    - PS - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 4:42:32 AM
    - Case In Point - Funny You Don't See It - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 4:38:53 AM
      - re: Case In Point - Funny You Don't See It - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 5:44:47 AM
        
        It's Not Easy to Breath 3 Minutes In Vaccuum Or Survive Seconds In a Fireball - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 2:30:59 PM
        
        Isolated on Mars - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 3:52:49 PM
        
        re: Isolated on Mars - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 4:13:34 PM
        
        re: Isolated on Mars - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 6:17:50 PM
        
        Right Attitude Wrong Application - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 7:22:13 PM
        
        re: Right Attitude Wrong Application - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 7:51:10 PM
        
        Simple Analogue - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 9:16:58 PM
        
        re: Case In Point - Funny You Don't See It - Chris Vancil - 3/20/2005 7:35:14 AM
        
        re: Case In Point - Funny You Don't See It - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 2:08:21 PM
      - " 3 days distance is virtually MEANINGLESS." - Buck Galaxy - 3/20/2005 5:09:20 AM
        
        Apollo 13 - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 5:44:53 PM
        
        Your Lack Of Understanding Is Showing Again - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 5:58:21 PM
        
        re: Your Lack Of Understanding Is Showing Again - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 6:23:36 PM
        
        re: 96 days round trip to Mars! - Chris Vancil - 3/20/2005 7:24:47 AM
        
        Almost no architecture could survive an Apollo-13 type accident - Gary - 3/20/2005 9:37:50 PM
        
        re: 96 days round trip to Mars! - RobVG - 3/20/2005 6:16:50 PM
        
        re: 96 days round trip to Mars! - Chris Vancil - 3/20/2005 11:11:55 PM
        
        Exactly! Make your mistakes in the shallow end of the pool! (nt) (n/t) - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 6:24:51 PM
        
        re: 96 days round trip to Mars! - Sam1970 - 3/20/2005 1:56:18 PM
        
        re: 96 days round trip to Mars! - Chris Vancil - 3/21/2005 4:50:22 AM
        
        Poor Risk Analysis - Mark Eby - 3/20/2005 5:24:45 AM

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